Refiner Neste Warns of Weaker Biofuel Outlook, Shares Drop

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Company makes third cut to renewables organization outlook this year

Company makes third cut to renewables company outlook this year


Reduces both margin and volume outlook


Weaker diesel market strikes biofuel rates


(Adds analyst, background, detail in paragraphs 2-3, 9-11)


By Elviira Luoma and Essi Lehto


HELSINKI, Sept 11 (Reuters) - Finnish refiner Neste on Wednesday cut the margin outlook for its biofuel business for the 3rd time this year due to falling costs and likewise lowered its expected sales volumes, sending out the business's share price down 10%.


Neste said a drop in the cost of regular diesel had actually affected what it can charge for the biofuel it makes in Europe and Singapore, while input expenses for waste and residue feedstock remained high.


A rush by U.S. fuel makers to recalibrate their plants to produce sustainable diesel has actually created a supply glut of low-emissions biofuels, hammering revenue margins for refiners and threatening to restrain the nascent industry.


Neste in a declaration slashed the expected typical equivalent sales margin of its renewables system to between $360-$480 per tonne of biofuel, below $480-$580 per tonne seen in July and well below the $600-$800 seen in February.


The business now also expects renewables-based sales volumes in 2024 to be about 3.9 million tonnes rather of the 4.4 million it had actually forecasted considering that the start of the year, it added.


A part of the volume cut came from the production of sustainable air travel fuel, of which it is now anticipated to sell between 350,000-550,000 tonnes this year, down from between 500,000 and 700,000 tonnes seen formerly, Neste said.


"Renewable items' list prices have actually been adversely affected by a substantial decline in (the) diesel cost throughout the third quarter," Neste stated in a statement.


"At the exact same time, waste and residue feedstock costs have actually not decreased and eco-friendly item market value premiums have actually stayed weak," the business added.


Industry executives and experts have actually stated rapidly broadening Chinese biodiesel manufacturers are looking for brand-new outlets in Asia for their exports, while Shell and BP have actually announced they are pausing growth plans in Europe.


While the cut in Neste's assistance on sales volumes of sustainable aviation fuel came as a surprise, the negative effect on biodiesel margins from a lower diesel cost was to be anticipated, Inderes expert Petri Gostowski said.


Neste's share cost had reversed some losses by 1037 GMT but remained down 5.8% on the day and 48% lower year-to-date. (Reporting by Elviira Luoma, Essi Lehto and Boleslaw Lasocki; Editing by Terje Solsvik and Jan Harvey)

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